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Replicating Hedge Funds, Lessons from Bridgewater and the Outlook for Inflation with Bob Elliott
11 months ago by Contributor Author @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

In this episode, we speak with Unlimited Funds founder Bob Elliott. We discuss the general landscape of the hedge fund industry including the strategies hedge funds employ, whether they add value from a return perspective and if the top performing hedge funds are able to maintain that status over time. The post Replicating Hedge Funds, Lessons from Bridgewater and the Outlook for Inflation with Bob Elliott appeared first on IBKR Campus.

Implied Volatility: Does it Even Matter Anymore?
11 months ago by Will McBride @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

Will McBride and Dmitry Pargaminik, cofounders of Market Chameleon join IBKR’s Senior Trading Education Specialist Jeff Praissman to discuss implied volatility and its effect on option pricing. The post Implied Volatility: Does it Even Matter Anymore? appeared first on IBKR Campus.

VEGA

Fed Sends Stocks.....Higher? | Tom Bowley | Trading Places (06.15.23)
11 months ago by StockCharts TV @ StockCharts.com YouTube Channel

Tom discusses the stock market's reaction to the latest Fed meeting, specifically reviewing the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 charts. He highlights a breakout on a previously under-performing industry group that is very likely to have bullish implications down the road for all stocks. Tom covers all 30 Dow components, before wrapping up the show with Earnings Spotlight and 3 You Must See. 00:00 - Introduction 02:41 - Daily Market Recap 09:45 - Talking Technically 12:57 - Chart of the Day 14:38 - Dow 30 25:23 - Earnings Spotlight 26:33 - 3 You Must See Connect with Tom - Website: https://www.earningsbeats.com/ Blog: https://stockcharts.com/articles/tradingplaces/ ––––– Enjoy this video? Subscribe to StockCharts TV on YouTube to watch more great content from top financial experts, with new content posted daily: https://tinyurl.com/wvet7qj See what better financial charting can do for you! Start your FREE 1-month trial today at https://stockcharts.com FOLLOW US Twitter: @StockCharts :...

Why This Stock Market Is Making Big Investors Nervous
11 months ago by Steven M. Sears @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

Hope for the best. Prepare for the worst. Such is the message from the options market as the S&P 500 index continues to dance on a razor’s edge near record-high territory. The post Why This Stock Market Is Making Big Investors Nervous appeared first on IBKR Campus.

Is the Fed Overmanaging the Economy? 
11 months ago by Bill Baruch @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

The Federal Reserve did not hike rates at the conclusion of yesterday’s policy meeting, but in an attempt to coddle the market’s reaction function, the committee forecasted two more 25bps hikes later this year. The post Is the Fed Overmanaging the Economy?  appeared first on IBKR Campus.

GOLD

In Case You Missed It! Toggle AI Discussed Generative AI
11 months ago by IBKR Quant @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

Don't miss this presentation from Giuseppe Sette, President & Co-founder of Toggle AI! The post In Case You Missed It! Toggle AI Discussed Generative AI appeared first on IBKR Campus.

Gold Midyear Outlook: Interest Rates, Recession, and Risks Propel Gold Higher
11 months ago by Contributor Author @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

Gold’s prospects in the second half of 2023 remain bright, driven by a shift in monetary policy, the potential for recession, and growing potential for market shocks and volatility. The post Gold Midyear Outlook: Interest Rates, Recession, and Risks Propel Gold Higher appeared first on IBKR Campus.

GOLD

Longform links: internet sleuthery
11 months ago by abnormalreturns @ Abnormal Returns

Thursdays are all about longform links on Abnormal Returns. You can check out last week’s linkfest including a look at how to...

Federal Reserve’s Victory Lap and Next Steps for Stocks 
11 months ago by Michele Schneider @ See It Market

What we heard from the Fed and FOMC on Wednesday:  Nothing in here is a surprise to us as we have been talking on all the media about the expected pause (skip) this month. And that the FED would leave the door open for further rate hikes depending on….the DATA. Plus, the PPI decreased for […] The post Federal Reserve’s Victory Lap and Next Steps for Stocks  appeared first on See It Market.

Lawler: Update on Mortgage/Treasury Spreads
11 months ago by Calculated Risk @ Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Lawler: Update on Mortgage/Treasury Spreads A brief excerpt: From housing economist Tom Lawler: Last May I wrote a two-part piece on why the spread between the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate and the 10-year Treasury rate had widened significantly from the end of 2021 to early May of last year, and explained why changes in the yield curve, changes in market-implied interest rate volatility, and the end of the Federal Reserve’s misplaced MBS purchase program all logically and rationally resulted in a widening of the mortgage/10-year Treasury spread.  I also said that it was unlikely that mortgage/10-year Treasury spreads were unlikely to revert to what some argue is the “normal” level (there is no such thing) any time soon.  Since then, mortgage/10-year Treasury spreads have on average been wider than there ...

#SocialStocks: Twitter Skips Out On Rent And Google Cloud Bills
11 months ago by Andrew Perez @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

VR sales lower as new competition is set to arrive, Louisiana enacts parental control legislation and other notable stories from this week. The post #SocialStocks: Twitter Skips Out On Rent And Google Cloud Bills appeared first on IBKR Campus.

AI RENT

Taking Stock Of A Load Of Macro Inputs
11 months ago by Patrick J. O’Hare @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

There are a lot of macro inputs for the market to digest today, including the output heard yesterday from the FOMC and Fed Chair Powell. The post Taking Stock Of A Load Of Macro Inputs appeared first on IBKR Campus.

Designing The Best Set Of Rules For You To Trade
11 months ago by Michael Martin @ MartinKronicle

Everybody, it’s Michael Martin. So I got a comment from Rock in the comment section. That’s where comments go. Typically, not all the time, sometimes they’re spray painted on the wall about how do you go about designing a process that’s good for you.So I think of it like shopping for a suit. There are […] The post Designing The Best Set Of Rules For You To Trade first appeared on MartinKronicle. The post Designing The Best Set Of Rules For You To Trade appeared first on MartinKronicle.

FX Insights: A Mixed Combination
11 months ago by Jim Iuorio @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

Caught between the ECB’s continued hiking cycle and the Fed’s pause, what is the direction for EUR/USD? The post FX Insights: A Mixed Combination appeared first on IBKR Campus.

Technical Analysis Heading Into Thursday’s Open: June 15, 2023
11 months ago by Dan Gramza @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

Dan Gramza takes a look at some key charts heading into today’s (June 15, 2023) open, including stock indices, currencies, and commodities. The post Technical Analysis Heading Into Thursday’s Open: June 15, 2023 appeared first on IBKR Campus.

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Industrial Production Decreased 0.2% in May
11 months ago by Calculated Risk @ Calculated Risk

From the Fed: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial production edged down 0.2 percent in May following two consecutive months of increases. In May, the index for manufacturing ticked up 0.1 percent, while the indexes for mining and utilities fell 0.4 and 1.8 percent, respectively. At 103.0 percent of its 2017 average, total industrial production in May was 0.2 percent above its year-earlier level. Capacity utilization moved down to 79.6 percent in May, a rate that is 0.1 percentage point below its long-run (1972–2022) average. emphasis added <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgqwsG-R_IZ-IuBiD2ysMDBuUBDvradkpGK6Cn3HynaVSRl9Kn4KfOq3LjoXe7J-N8i4Wm7BJPgAFkcXkQjWQr1jmbHtxJ-83DTdslhPP4KoQsJaiiVag7sITI9GgDOinK5_Ln0M5LdFuqDzu_l8f5Jvmw6H2Rz9DredHj3PUAsyI5JtoD5uw/s1004/CapU...

The Only Day Trading Guide a Beginner Will Ever Need (The Basics from A to Z)
11 months ago by Bella @ SMB Capital

Does anyone really make consistent money day trading? Can YOU make money day trading? How hard is it? What does it really take? And how does it all work in the real-world? These are the questions most beginners have. And these are the questions that will be answered in this article. Plus much more. So if you’ve heard about day ... Read More The post The Only Day Trading Guide a Beginner Will Ever Need (The Basics from A to Z) appeared first on SMB Training Blog.

Retail Sales Increased 0.3% in May
11 months ago by Calculated Risk @ Calculated Risk

On a monthly basis, retail sales were up 0.3% from April to May (seasonally adjusted), and sales were up 1.6 percent from May 2022. From the Census Bureau report: Advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for May 2023, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $686.6 billion, up 0.3 percent from the previous month, and up 1.6 percent above May 2022. ... The March 2023 to April 2023 percent change was unrevised at 0.4 percent. emphasis added <...