Consumer Spending to Decelerate Sharply: Oct. 10, 2023

8 months ago by Jose Torres @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

In this commentary, we discuss reasons for the strong spending following the Covid-19 recession and provide insight into when individuals may finally tighten their purse strings, which in our view will push the economy closer to a shallow recession. The post Consumer Spending to Decelerate Sharply: Oct. 10, 2023 appeared first on IBKR Campus.

Bronze Week

8 months ago by Contributor Author @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

China’s Golden Week holiday brought in less money than expected, more proof that the economy’s still far from roaring back. The post Bronze Week appeared first on IBKR Campus.

ASIA

Take Notes: Orbisa on Scientech

8 months ago by Contributor Author @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

Orbisa dives into Scientech Corporation, a Taiwanese manufacturer of silicon wafers, whose loan activity has been on the rise throughout Q3, with actively lent shares increasing from 603K to 1.8 million to date. The post Take Notes: Orbisa on Scientech appeared first on IBKR Campus.

Call Spread Trades 2,500 Times in Fomento Economico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.

8 months ago by Jeff Praissman @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

This morning the Fomento Economico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. (Symbol: FMX) January 19 ’23 115 / 130 call spread traded 2,500 times. The post Call Spread Trades 2,500 Times in Fomento Economico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. appeared first on IBKR Campus.

China Contemplates Stimulus As Property Giant Country Garden Teeters On Brink Of Default

8 months ago by Piero Cingari @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

The Chinese government is considering increasing fiscal stimulus to regain lost economic growth, potentially issuing 1 trillion yuan. The post China Contemplates Stimulus As Property Giant Country Garden Teeters On Brink Of Default appeared first on IBKR Campus.

Economist Perspective: A New Equity Index Options Volatility Cycle?

8 months ago by Erik Norland @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

For three decades, implied volatility and yield curves have been locked in a repeating cycle. Recently, implied volatility on S&P 500 options has been exceptionally low. Is that about to change? CME Group Senior Economist Erik Norland explains. The post Economist Perspective: A New Equity Index Options Volatility Cycle? appeared first on IBKR Campus.

How To Deal With FOMO When You Abandon Your Rules

8 months ago by Michael Martin @ MartinKronicle

Hello everybody. Happy Tuesday. Michael Martin here. So I always forget to say this stuff just because I’m the worst marketer in the financial services space, but as you know, we have this YouTube channel when you’re joining to subscribe. We get really good data. Ganja calls it the algorithm. I don’t even know what […] The post How To Deal With FOMO When You Abandon Your Rules first appeared on MartinKronicle. The post How To Deal With FOMO When You Abandon Your Rules appeared first on MartinKronicle.

Nonfarm Payrolls September 2023

8 months ago by Will Klinke @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

Divergences resumed between private data (ADP) and government data (BLS) in September. The post Nonfarm Payrolls September 2023 appeared first on IBKR Campus.

Investor Q&A | Going to Cash, Laddering Bonds, International Diversification, Narrow Leadership

8 months ago by Contributor Author @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

In this episode, we discuss the desire to move into short-term bonds, whether a laddered bond portfolio can sustain a 4% withdrawal rate, the potential opportunity in international stocks and more. The post Investor Q&A | Going to Cash, Laddering Bonds, International Diversification, Narrow Leadership appeared first on IBKR Campus.

Research links: an attractive business model

8 months ago by abnormalreturns @ Abnormal Returns

Tuesdays are all about academic (and practitioner) literature at Abnormal Returns. You can check out last week’s edition including a look at...

Filled with nervous energy

8 months ago by Patrick J. O’Hare @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

There was a lot of nervous energy in the stock market on Monday and for good reason. Following a weekend assault, Israel declared war on Hamas, engendering concerns that this two-party war could evolve into a wider regional conflict. Thus far, that hasn't happened. The post Filled with nervous energy appeared first on IBKR Campus.

How to “outlive”

8 months ago by Alexander Gunz @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

If death is one of the only certainties in life, then surely it is logical to want to delay it for as long as possible? The quest for eternal life has been a perennial one, recorded in myths since antiquity. The post How to “outlive” appeared first on IBKR Campus.

Market Snapshot – October 2023

8 months ago by Contributor Author @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

In September, U.S. stocks declined as the Federal Reserve (Fed) signaled that interest rates could remain higher for longer. The post Market Snapshot – October 2023 appeared first on IBKR Campus.

Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-October

8 months ago by Calculated Risk @ Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-October A brief excerpt: Yesterday, in Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-October I reviewed home inventory and sales. ... Most measures of house prices have shown an increase in prices over the last several months, and a key question I discussed in July is Will house prices decline further later this year? I will revisit this question soon. Other measures of house prices suggest prices will be up further YoY over the next few months in the Case-Shiller index. The <a href="https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/nar-existing...

It’s Quiet on the Insider Filings Front

8 months ago by David @ All Star Charts

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos With investors and executives scrambling to figure out what the geopolitical events of the weekend mean for their portfolios and companies, all was silent on the insider filings front.  There were no Form 4s, Form 13s, or political reports that meet our materiality threshold.  We expect […] The post It’s Quiet on the Insider Filings Front appeared first on All Star Charts.

Chart Advisor: Energy Works its Uptrend

8 months ago by Contributor Author @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

Equal-weight energy, after adjusting for dividends, is hovering near all-time highs. The sector is trading above an upward sloping 200-day moving average as slower moving technical indicators display no sign of a weakening trend. The post Chart Advisor: Energy Works its Uptrend appeared first on IBKR Campus.

RSPG

Swing Trader Pro: Morning Briefing (10-10-2023)

8 months ago by David @ All Star Charts

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff Futures are bright this morning. I mentioned yesterday that there’s potential to 438 on $SPY. Here’s what I’m looking at this morning: I’ll be watching $NET above 64 for a potential move higher. I’ll see you in the Live Trading Room at the open. Here are a couple of […] The post Swing Trader Pro: Morning Briefing (10-10-2023) appeared first on All Star Charts.

Wall Street Breakfast: All-Out War

8 months ago by SA Wall St. Breakfast

AMZN BAC F GD GM GOOG GOOGL HII IBM JOBY LHX LMT META MSFT NOC TFC U WW

Why Petrobras Is A Great Alternative To Other Oil Majors

8 months ago by SA Editor's Picks

PBR PBR.A

Welcome to the Year-End Rally

8 months ago by JC @ All Star Charts

Are you ready for the end of the year squeeze? Many investors think it’s not coming and that the market is going to crash instead. In fact, CTAs have never been this short. The last few times they were anywhere near this bearish, stocks went on to have some of the greatest rallies in history. […] The post Welcome to the Year-End Rally appeared first on All Star Charts.

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