The New Normal in Housing Prices

3 days ago by Ben Carlson @ A Wealth of Common Sense

Why higher housing prices are here to stay. The post The New Normal in Housing Prices appeared first on A Wealth of Common Sense. ...

Key Breadth Indicator Flashes Buy Signal for Nasdaq 100

3 days ago by StockCharts TV @ StockCharts.com YouTube Channel

05.03.24: Host David Keller, CMT opens The Final Bar mailbag to answer viewer questions on the Nasdaq Bullish Percent Index, the value of long-term technical analysis techniques, how sentiment indicators relate to the market trend, and how the CMT program helped him improve his technical analysis approach. Dave's chart on HD testing the 200-day moving average: https://schrts.co/iXwjbwnV 👀 See what better financial charting can do for you! Start your FREE 1-month trial today at https://stockcharts.com 👍🏻 If you enjoyed this video be sure to hit the THUMBS UP ✅ If you found value, consider SUBSCRIBING to our channel and ring the bell so you never miss a new video! Subscribe Here: https://tinyurl.com/wvet7qj 00:00 - Intro 00:43 - Q1: The Nasdaq Bullish Percent Index $BPNDX has crossed over 30. Would you consider this a good risk/reward time to enter a position? 05:58 - Q2: Sentiment indicators appear to just follow the market trend. What value does it add? 10:09 - Q3: When you “look...

Q2 GDP Tracking: Solid Early Look

3 days ago by Calculated Risk @ Calculated Risk

From Goldman: We lowered our Q2 GDP tracking estimate by 0.1pp to +3.3% (qoq ar) and our domestic final sales estimate by the same amount to +2.7% (qoq ar). [May 2nd estimate]emphasis addedAnd from the Altanta Fed: GDPNowThe GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2024 is 3.3 percent on May 2, unchanged from May 1 after rounding. [May 2nd estimate]

Friday links: writing as a skill

3 days ago by abnormalreturns @ Abnormal Returns

Are Rates Ready to Drop?

3 days ago by Ian Culley @ All Star Charts

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley So far, the dollar-yen is playing its part with a little help from Tokyo. Falling dollar, falling rates, falling dollar-yen… That’s the mantra reverberating throughout the market.  But will interest rates get on board? Check out the US 10-year yield climbing within a four-month channel:  The 10-year is […] The post Are Rates Ready to Drop? appeared first on All Star Charts.

ASC

Alphabet's Clear Plan To Monetize AI: Why I'm Reiterating My Buy Rating

3 days ago by SA Editor's Picks

GOOG GOOGL MSFT

U.S. Dollar Peaking… As Momentum Indicator Reaches Historic High!

3 days ago by Chris Kimble @ Kimble Charting Solutions

The U.S. Dollar is a key variable in all aspects of the marketplace. The strength of the dollar factors into the price we pay for food, gas, and everyday groceries. It also affects the equity and bond markets as investors factor in the risks of a dollar that is too weak or too strong versus […]

Natural Gas Bottom: What’s Taking So Long?

3 days ago by Michele Schneider @ See It Market

A big story last week was that AI is fueled by natural gas, which should increase demand. That story did little for the futures price. Then this week other stories came out that:  We also just learned that the weekly build in inventories came in roughly in line with expectations which was received with a […] The post Natural Gas Bottom: What’s Taking So Long? appeared first on See It Market.

UNG

Payroll Miss Hands the Baton to the Bulls: May 3, 2024

3 days ago by Jose Torres @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

Market participants are delighted with the fact that headline payrolls arrived well below projections.

Podcast links: under the sea

3 days ago by abnormalreturns @ Abnormal Returns

Fridays are all about podcast links here at Abnormal Returns. You can check out last week’s links including a look at the...

Not So Fast…

3 days ago by Steve Sosnick @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

I’d like to think that the title of today’s piece can be interpreted in three ways. The obvious reference is to the slower than expected jobs growth revealed by the monthly payrolls report, but the first subtext refers to the ISM numbers that arrived an hour and a half later. The third relates to Apple, whose massive buyback may be an acknowledgement of a slower-growth future.

5 skills you need to make it when you’re starting out as a trader

3 days ago by Michael Martin @ MartinKronicle

Watch this video on YouTube I got a great email from a longtime viewer. He asked that I don’t use his name. He said, can you give me a list of the five things that you think that are required in order to make it long-term? And I was like, man, I probably can’t. I […] The post 5 skills you need to make it when you’re starting out as a trader first appeared on MartinKronicle. The post 5 skills you need to make it when you’re starting out as a trader appeared first on MartinKronicle.

Evolving Fed expectations and asset-allocation implications

3 days ago by Wylie Tollette, CFA @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

With continued economic growth and elevated inflation levels, the Fed keeps delaying interest-rate cuts. The Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team provides a historical analysis to make sense of the Fed rate cycle and what it implies for multi-asset investors.

The Double-Edged Sword of Trend Following

3 days ago by Contributor Author @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

In this episode of Two Quants and a Financial Planner, we dive deep into the world of trend following investment strategies.

This Options-Backed Strategy Can Help You Dodge the Stock Market’s Hazards

3 days ago by Steven M. Sears @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

When compounding and dividends are combined and enhanced with conservative options strategies, investors harness some of the most powerful financial forces in the world.

A Journey Through Technology Investing Over Time

3 days ago by Andrew Wilkinson @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

Where does an investor start on his or her journey when trying to identify technological trends? In this episode, Alexander Gunz of Heptagon Capital explains his methodologies when searching for tends that are set to become tomorrow’s next big thing, and how to invest in them.

AI

2 Dividend Stocks To Watch In May 2024

3 days ago by Joe Samuel @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

The stock market is where investors trade shares of publicly traded companies. Dividend stocks for your May 2024 watch list.

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 5/3/24

3 days ago by Sean McLaughlin @ All Star Charts

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review: New position in XLK. No adjustments are needed today. Exited XLB at our profit target. Current status of open campaigns. Let’s dig in! The post [Options P2P] Daily Digest 5/3/24 appeared first on All Star Charts.

R: Collect the i-th or Last Rows of Each Data Frame in a List of Data Frames

3 days ago by Sang-Heon Lee @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

In the following R code, the function collect_ith_or_last_rows() provides a convenient method for selecting either the i-th or last rows of data frames within a list.

R

Job Market Cools In April: Payrolls Miss Forecasts, Wages Rise Less Than Expected 

3 days ago by Piero Cingari @ IBKR Traders’ Insight

April U.S. job growth missed expectations: Nonfarm payrolls increased by 175,000, falling short of the expected 238,000.